Tuesday, March 02, 2010

One-Quarter of Americans Now Believe Cuba is an Enemy of the U.S

One-Quarter of Americans Now Believe Cuba is an Enemy of the U.S.

Public divided on policy towards Cuba, but many say President Obama
should visit Cuba

Press Release Source: Harris Interactive On Tuesday March 2, 2010, 5:00
am EST

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Almost fifty years ago the eyes of the world
were on the interplay between the United States and Cuba during the Bay
of Pigs and then the Cuban Missile Crisis. Luckily, those thirteen days
passed with no major escalation, but the stage was set for ice-cold
relations between the two countries for most of the next five decades.

Now, almost one-quarter of Americans (23%) still say that the government
of Cuba is unfriendly and an enemy of the United States while almost
two-thirds (63%) say Cuba's government is not friendly, but not an
enemy. Just one in ten (12%) say Cuba is a friend but not a close ally
while 2% believe Cuba is a close ally. There is an age difference in
attitude towards Cuba. Over one-third (35%) of those 55 and older say
that Cuba is unfriendly and an enemy while just one in ten (10%) of
those 18-34 say the same.

These are some of the results of BBC World News America/Harris Poll of
2,050 adults surveyed online between January 13 and 15, 2010 by Harris
Interactive.

While Cuba may no longer be considered an enemy by a majority of
Americans, it does not mean people are ready to embrace the government
completely. More than two in five U.S. adults (44%) believe it is too
soon for normal relations to be restored with Cuba while 38% disagree
with that idea. One issue that is also splitting Americans is the
embargo as two in five (40%) say the embargo towards Cuba should remain
in effect and 36% say it should not remain in effect any longer. With
Fidel Castro no longer in power, two in five U.S. adults (39%) agree
that Cuba has changed for the better while 29% disagree and one-third
(32%) are not at all sure.

Looking at who would like to visit Cuba confirms that most people are
not ready to embrace the country yet. While two in five (38%) say they
would like to visit Cuba if possible almost half of Americans (49%) say
they would not. And, again, there is an age difference here as three in
ten of those 55 and older (30%) say they would want to visit Cuba if
possible compared to 43% of those 18-34 and 46% of those 35-44. There is
also a gender difference on visiting Cuba. Almost half of men (47%)
would like to visit Cuba if possible compared to just 30% of women.

Relationship with Cuba

Three-quarters of Americans (75%) say the relationship with Cuba is
important while 25% say it is not important. And one reason for this
importance could be the possible business possibilities. Some have
argued that there is a large business potential for American
corporations in Cuba that is lacking because of the trade embargo. Over
half of U.S. adults (57%) say there are missed opportunities for U.S.
businesses and 17% say there are not. One quarter of Americans (25%) are
not at all sure.

When he took office, President Obama said he was going to make overtures
to Cuba and attempt to better relations between the two countries. So
far he has lifted some travel restrictions for Cuban Americans to visit
the island. Three in ten Americans (29%) say this is not enough of an
overture while 35% believe it is enough of one and 10% say it is too much.

While almost half of Americans do not want to visit Cuba, the same
number (49%) believe President Obama should visit Cuba at some point
during his presidency while one-quarter (25%) say maybe he should visit
when Fidel Castro dies and 26% say no, he should not ever visit Cuba.
Again, age matters as 35% of those 55 and older say President Obama
should not visit Cuba while 54% of those 18-34 say he should visit Cuba
during his presidency.

So what?

Fifty years is a long time but these findings suggest that, at least for
older people, memories of the Cuban Missile Crisis last. Attitudes on
many issues on Cuba are very different depending on if one is over or
under 55 years old. And, even though he isn't in power any longer, Fidel
Castro is still a presence. Once he is no longer there, attitudes may
change further.

TABLE 1
CUBA'S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE US
"Thinking of the government of Cuba, do you believe it is a close ally
of the United States, a friend but not a close ally, is not friendly but
not an enemy, or is unfriendly and an enemy of the United States?"
Base: All Adults
Total Age
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+
% % % % %
A close ally 2 3 1 1 1
A friend, but not a close ally 12 19 13 12 6
Not friendly, but not an enemy 63 68 66 59 58
Unfriendly and an enemy 23 10 20 28 35

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 2
PERCEPTIONS OF CUBA
"How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?"
(Strongly/Somewhat Agree)
Base: All Adults
AGREE (NET) Strongly agree Somewhat agree
DISAGREE (NET) Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree Not at
all sure
It is too soon for normal relations to be restored with Cuba %
44 19 25 38 21 16 19
The embargo towards Cuba should remain in effect % 40
17 23 36 19 17 24
Now that Fidel Castro is no longer in power, Cuba has changed for the
better % 39 7 32 29 17 13 32
If possible, I would like to visit Cuba % 38 17 21
49 15 34 12

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 3
PERCEPTIONS OF CUBA – BY AGE AND GENDER
"How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?"
(Strongly/Somewhat Agree)
Base: All Adults
Total Age Gender
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+ Male Female
% % % % % % %
It is too soon for normal relations to be restored with Cuba. 44
36 43 47 49 41 46
The embargo towards Cuba should remain in effect. 40 28 39
47 49 40 40
Now that Fidel Castro is no longer in power, Cuba has changed for the
better. 39 44 43 36 33 41 37
If possible, I would like to visit Cuba. 38 43 46 39
30 47 30

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 4
IMPORTANCE OF RELATIONSHIP WITH CUBA
"How important is the relationship between the United States and Cuba?"
Base: All Adults
Total Age Gender
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+ Male Female
% % % % % % %
Very/Somewhat Important (NET) 75 74 80 72 76
70 80
Very important 19 19 18 20 20 21 18
Somewhat important 56 55 63 52 56 50 62
Not At All/Not That Important (NET) 25 26 20 28
24 30 20
Not that important 19 22 18 20 17 22 17
Not at all important 5 4 2 8 7 7 3

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 5
US TO CUBA OVERTURES
"President Obama said he was going to make overtures to Cuba and attempt
to better relations between the two countries. So far he has lifted some
travel restrictions for Cuban Americans to visit the island. Do you
think this is enough or not enough of an overture?"
Base: All Adults

Total Age Gender
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+ Male Female
% % % % % % %
Too much 10 4 6 13 14 12 7
Enough 35 33 36 35 35 32 38
Not enough 29 31 27 30 30 37 22
Not at all sure 26 32 31 21 21 19 33

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 6
US BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN CUBA
"Some have argued that there is a large business potential for American
corporations in Cuba that they are missing because of the trade embargo.
Are there missed opportunities for US businesses?"
Base: All Adults
Total Age Gender
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+ Male Female
% % % % % % %
Definitely/Probably Are (NET) 57 55 58 63 56
67 49
Definitely are 16 13 14 21 16 22 10
Probably are 42 42 44 42 40 45 39
Definitely/Probably Are Not (NET) 17 16 13 17
22 17 17
Probably are not 11 13 9 10 12 10 12
Definitely are not 6 3 4 7 11 7 5
Not at all sure 25 29 29 20 22 16 34

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 7
PRESIDENT OBAMA VISITING CUBA
"Do you think President Obama should visit Cuba?"
Base: All Adults
Total Age
18-34 35-44 45-54 55+
% % % % %
Yes, he should visit Cuba at some point during his Presidency
49 54 52 47 45
Maybe, when Fidel Castro dies 25 29 25 25 21
No, he should not ever visit Cuba 26 17 23 28 35

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

Methodology

This BBC World News America/Harris Poll was conducted online within the
United States February 11 and 15, 2010 among 2,050 adults (aged 18 and
over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and
household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line
with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score
weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability
sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often
not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage
error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question
wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments.
Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they
are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible
sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted,
random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical
because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have
agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been
weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the
sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris
Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be
calculated

The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising,
marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris
Interactive.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.

The Harris Poll® #29, March 2, 2010
By Regina A. Corso, Director, The Harris Poll, Harris Interactive

About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research
firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform
relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris
Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers
expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare,
technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial
services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package
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solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next.
For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.

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One-Quarter of Americans Now Believe Cuba is an Enemy of the U.S. -
Yahoo! Finance (2 March 2010)
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/OneQuarter-of-Americans-Now-bw-2588182627.html?x=0&.v=1

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